TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc479…e938

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
261
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT11713.7%16 W · 101 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-37.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 117 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Penguins vs. Bruinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Devils vs. Jetsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Blues vs. Golden Knightsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Canucks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Red Wings vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Blue Jackets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Senators vs. Avalanchebacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Canucks vs. Red Wingsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+1,091.2%+$218.25
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.64
Bruins vs. Krakenbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Blue Jackets vs. Sharksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Canucks vs. Sabresbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Ducks vs. Flyersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Stars vs. Hurricanesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Kraken vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Ducks vs. Capitalsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.06
Canadiens vs. Starsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+173.7%+$69.48
Golden Knights vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+390%+$93.59
Showing 25 of 117 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10328.2%29 W · 74 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+3.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Hornets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+264.1%+$36.97
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25.98
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Jazz vs. Thunderbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Pelicans vs. Hawksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+177.1%+$60.63
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+182.1%+$58.27
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+544.4%+$337.51
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.88
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST214.8%1 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick18cpaid-93.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Texas Mean Green vs. Wichita State Shockersbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12
UAB Blazers vs. East Carolina Piratesbacked East Carolina Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Saint Peter's Peacocksbacked Merrimack College Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Charlotte 49ers vs. Rice Owlsbacked Rice Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Robert Morris Colonialsbacked Robert Morris Colonials · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Green Bay Phoenixbacked Northern Kentucky Norse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Detroit Titansbacked Cleveland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Iona Gaelsbacked Canisius Golden Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19
SIUE Cougars vs. Western Illinois Leathernecksbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Texas Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Portland Pilots vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchosbacked Portland Pilots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Towson Tigersbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.55
Southern Jaguars vs. California Baptist Lancersbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$13
California-San Diego Tritons vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked Loyola Marymount Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Howard Bison vs. Drexel Dragonsbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+38.3%+$19.54
San Francisco Dons vs. Saint Louis Billikensbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Lamar Cardinals vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked Lamar Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Weber State Wildcats vs. Kansas City Roosbacked Kansas City Roos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Brown Bears vs. Providence Friarsbacked Brown Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13
San Diego Toreros vs. California Baptist Lancersbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+92.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+102%+$26.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luxembourg win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alanyaspor win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.