Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Francisco Dons vs. Saint Louis Billikens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf89511ad583593a896a80c552bafef5b1d3424df6dedffd36bc8b8995962a6ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Louis Billikensof San Francisco Dons, Saint Louis Billikens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed San Francisco Dons | 13c | 3,993$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.06 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked San Francisco Dons | 13c | 800.14$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked San Francisco Dons | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked San Francisco Dons | 13c | 697.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.67 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed San Francisco Dons | 13c | 611$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Saint Louis Billikens | 79c | 277.65$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Saint Louis Billikens | 73c | 214.29$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…04f6backed San Francisco Dons | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked San Francisco Dons | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed San Francisco Dons | 14c | 185.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Saint Louis Billikens | 69c | 181.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed San Francisco Dons | 13c | 154$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e3…f004backed San Francisco Dons | 15c | 113$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed San Francisco Dons | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Francisco Dons | 16c | 96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fd…5dd3backed San Francisco Dons | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed San Francisco Dons | 18c | 88.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c2…56a8backed San Francisco Dons | 25c | 79.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc479…e938backed San Francisco Dons | 18c | 66.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 18cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Saint Louis Billikens | 77c | 49.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked San Francisco Dons | 23c | 45.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Saint Louis Billikens | 79c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.