TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ab3…5fa4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
214
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NFL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 60 out of 100; worst AI at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT5332.1%17 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kings vs. Magicbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Kings vs. Knicksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.99
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+100%+$24.95
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+300%+$37.5
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.8
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.19
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+840.2%+$147.2
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Hawks vs. Thunderbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.03
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+293%+$205.1
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Clippers vs. Thunderbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Magic vs. Nuggetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+244.8%+$146.9
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2913.8%4 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.62
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Illinois State Redbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+300%+$40.56
Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-18.5)backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37.13
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Boston College Eagles vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. UT Martin Skyhawksbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69.27
Howard Bison vs. Northwestern Wildcatsbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Maryland Terrapins vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$35.3
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Akron Zipsbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Portland State Vikings vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Portland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. UIC Flamesbacked Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
San Francisco Dons vs. Saint Louis Billikensbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$26
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Florida Gatorsbacked George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Florida State Seminolesbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+669.2%+$200.77
William Peace Pacers vs. UNCG Spartansbacked William Peace Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Lamar Cardinals vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked Lamar Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Idaho State Bengals vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked Idaho State Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Colgate Raiders vs. St. Bonaventure Bonniesbacked Colgate Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$18.35
Liberty Flames vs. North Carolina State Wolfpackbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Idaho Vandals vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST2646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+48.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$37.54
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40.23
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$110.23
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+100%+$40
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$125.36
Dolphins vs. Steelers: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+233.3%+$63
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+426.3%+$170.53
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Titans vs. 49ersbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$112
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12.06
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$66.48
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+262.9%+$457.53
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+270.4%+$135.19
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+254.7%+$427.82
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+143.9%+$59
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$89.96
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$142
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+108.3%+$53.08
Giants vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$60.92
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$221.45
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$29.55
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+284.6%+$29.6
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.98
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.35
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+356.6%+$74.89
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Preston North End FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+193.8%+$193.77
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+38.9%+$42.89
Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$19.25
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.53
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$28.52
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+177.8%+$44.44
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+257.1%+$38.57
Will Páfos FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+616.6%+$246.64
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Qairat FK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-59.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Rice vs. Texas Statebacked Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.78
James Madison vs. Oregonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Tulane vs. Ole Missbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Troy vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$21.24
Boise State vs. Washingtonbacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Alabama vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Navy vs. Memphisbacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+156.4%+$16.39
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Will CD Mirandés win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Cádiz CF win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+291.9%+$145.96
Will CA Osasuna win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+400%+$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+48.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-60.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+47.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs T1 (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$33.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.