La Liga · resolved market
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x573c664a2f511a72756cbb8912b2fbd9aba8323323366e61e6931115c791b5b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 8,112$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.11 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 8c | 5,463$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.37 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 8c | 4,419$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.88 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…984ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,035$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 9c | 2,778$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…4015backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +253.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 9c | 2,428$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.2 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 9c | 1,137$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.33 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5420…a717backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,099$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Yes | 8c | 894.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 29cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Yes | 7c | 837.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Yes | 9c | 758$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…e727backed Yes | 7c | 646.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0a…6b9fbacked Yes | 3c | 600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Yes | 3c | 599.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed Yes | 8c | 550$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 11c | 510.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2f…34b0backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 8c | 477$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 12c | 462.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 10c | 446.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…ad96backed Yes | 10c | 441.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…e8f7backed Yes | 10c | 414.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 7c | 356$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…2833backed Yes | 8c | 337.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…c8d0backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 8c | 249.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a91…6d5cbacked Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 7c | 199.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…aefdbacked Yes | 8c | 169.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…c365backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 8c | 151.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 9c | 142$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2729…5cdebacked Yes | 9c | 133.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab3…c6bbbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…1161backed Yes | 12c | 98.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34df…18b0backed Yes | 11c | 86.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.