TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe9fa…c365

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
290
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT5944.1%26 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.8
Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$21.76
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$53.02
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+160%+$96.02
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+199.7%+$159.75
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+328.8%+$295.89
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$62.56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+212.5%+$63.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$27.8
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.07
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$300.3
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$110.6
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+334.8%+$69.3
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$37.4
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$65.81
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+64.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.34
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.01
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$75.83
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$189.26
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$93.17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$26.78
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$141.82
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+900%+$270
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+53.8%+$63
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$68
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+376.2%+$75.24
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+115.4%+$45.24
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+114.1%+$49.08
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+68.9%+$27.64
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+225.8%+$281.48
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+519.2%+$167.7
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+261.5%+$261.51
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$118.47
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will Norway win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.93
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+317.5%+$85.72
Will Denmark win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Scotland vs. Denmark end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT3043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.6
Will Elche CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$33.83
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+614.3%+$104.43
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+31.6%+$18.13
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.75
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+525%+$157.5
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+336.7%+$101
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$39.93
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+514.8%+$165.8
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will AZ win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$36.6
Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+69.5%+$33.36
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$21.61
Will SK Brann win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Will PAOK win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$38.43
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
All 24 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-53.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$494
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.72
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$26
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$154.55
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.18
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72.9
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.51
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.48
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$95.99
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$122.41
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$52.31
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$34.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$25.2
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24.39
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$18
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.5
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$74.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$53.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)backed HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.72
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25.07
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$126
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+88.8%+$146.49
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TYLOO (BO3)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-51.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.9
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.57
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Knicks vs. Heat: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$21.54
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Red Wings vs. Flamesbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Blue Jackets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$54.7
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+49.8%+$12.45
Sharks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-64.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.16
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+67.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+235.6%+$70.67
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$115.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$41.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.