Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa05263ffc69a0f2aeac881f727c3b691ca0d3d6e51831176f9068de838c6dcd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,986 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes | 49c | 155,012$75,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,026.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 51c | 100,000$51,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,499.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 50c | 52,316$26,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,241.29 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 51c | 20,186$10,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,212.18 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 49c | 7,149$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,647.38 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 52c | 4,861$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.68 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 3,598$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.4 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9793…b295backed Yes | 49c | 3,520$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2497…ecfdbacked No | 51c | 3,520$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 2,815$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.82 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Yes | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 49c | 2,368$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.87 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Yes | 52c | 1,470$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 49c | 1,214$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.18 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 850.91$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 49c | 779.8$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.09 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 51c | 642$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.42 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked No | 52c | 576.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed No | 52c | 473$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…45d7backed Yes | 72c | 450.51$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 48c | 354.55$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.29 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 49c | 348.97$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.97 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 51c | 333$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 44c | 315.16$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 24c | 303.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed No | 52c | 300.16$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 57c | 252.24$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed No | 52c | 248.09$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…9c62backed Yes | 50c | 232$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed No | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…3254backed Yes | 61c | 215.58$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 49c | 204.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.21 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 52c | 192.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…4418backed Yes | 49c | 186.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 50c | 178.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 49c | 161.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…c5afbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 62c | 141.74$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 52c | 134.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 50c | 132.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 121.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…c365backed Yes | 71c | 118$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked No | 32c | 107.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5078…992cbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a0…fb5bbacked No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcf…bdd7backed No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 25c | 88.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 49c | 87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 35c | 81.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed No | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…c9aabacked No | 52c | 75.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 69.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked No | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 48c | 63.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 48c | 61.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…1770backed No | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…dac4backed No | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…e0f5backed No | 52c | 56.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473a…addcbacked No | 52c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…4c7abacked No | 31c | 48.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 74c | 46.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 50c | 42.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked No | 52c | 41.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 49c | 34.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Yes | 73c | 33.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed No | 52c | 29.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed No | 52c | 29.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabcc…b1fcbacked No | 52c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed No | 53c | 28.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 49c | 27.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…6b2abacked No | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 49c | 26.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e4…4bc7backed No | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afa…61f6backed Yes | 49c | 23.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…e67abacked No | 52c | 22.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…023abacked No | 53c | 22.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will Vålerenga Fotball vs. Sandefjord Fotball end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.