TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3542…24f0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
194
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 64 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT3847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$376.89
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$509
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$325.68
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$425
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Grizzlies vs. Bullsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Spread: Bulls (-6.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$425
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$460.42
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Trail Blazers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.5
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.25
Spread: Kings (-3.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$176.09
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT3458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$461.54
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Will Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$167.39
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Brentford FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$650.51
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$284.62
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+41%+$20.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$115.08
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$24.82
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2931%9 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-39.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vejle BK win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.86
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)backed Moreirense FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5)backed AVS Futebol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$31.54
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CD Nacional win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will SK Brann win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Will AZ win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)backed Kristiansund BK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$287.8
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)backed FC Arouca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$152.13
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will PSV win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.75
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$318.18
Will Levante UD win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$464.29
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$469.6
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.05
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+201.7%+$252.14
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)backed CA Osasuna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+79%+$176.89
All 20 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.25
US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.78
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$162.93
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$203.03
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Udinese Calcio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)backed US Lecce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.8wins+0.40per pick52cpaid+85.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+183.1%+$271.01
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)backed Paris FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)backed AS Monaco FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+138.3%+$69.13
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.52
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)backed FC Lorient · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+44.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$925Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$756.82
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$162.13
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$253.17
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$143.85
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$130.1
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$94.05
Will CF América win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
Will CA Tigre vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)backed CR Vasco da Gama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$32.21
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.33per pick49cpaid+76.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$75.41
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$270.37
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$212.5
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+53.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+224.9%+$449.86
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
Beijing Ducks vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.62
All 5 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.1%+$241.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.