Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa08c6d13ecb53a86cb17cff9fa49cee8c4cc331f43b79331041db2b93a3d3dd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,625 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 7c | 4,915$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.6 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 3,519$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.85 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 10c | 2,970$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.97 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 49c | 2,005$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.4 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 53c | 1,890$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.4 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 1,145$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.38 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.3 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 12c | 690.52$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 570.58$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.76 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 492.11$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.31 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 12c | 477.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 52c | 424.66$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.06 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 8c | 402.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 9c | 381.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 53c | 318.86$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.86 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 48c | 301.93$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.02 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 48c | 203$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.44 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…126cbacked Yes | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 10c | 151.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 51c | 141.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 9c | 138.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 11c | 130.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 59c | 127.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 57c | 111$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Yes | 53c | 99.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 97.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed No | 57c | 72.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 51c | 70.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…570cbacked Yes | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 43c | 46.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 25c | 39.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Yes | 42c | 35.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 35.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…4418backed Yes | 45c | 25.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 53c | 24.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 59c | 17.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will AVS Futebol vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?No won
- Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.