TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xabbf…126c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT11050%55 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 110 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Don Benito: Martyna Kubka vs Valentina Ryserbacked Martyna Kubka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.1
Bogota: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeidabacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bastad: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$41.51
Bogota: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Eduardo Ribeirobacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Bastad: Sinja Kraus vs Caijsa Hennemannbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$29.94
Quito: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Ignacio Monzonbacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Targu Mures: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Radu Mihai Papoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.5
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$51
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alvesbacked Luiza Fullana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilicbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.6
Lyon: Calvin Hemery vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$42.43
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Belluccibacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
ITF Brasilia: Camila Romero vs Luiza Fullanabacked Camila Romero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
ITF Ontinyent: Maileen Nuudi vs Raquel Gonzalez Vilarbacked Maileen Nuudi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$83.6
ITF Lakewood: Alexandra Vagramov vs Tatum Evansbacked Tatum Evans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$74.01
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.2
Birmingham: Mackenzie McDonald vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.8
Centurion 2: Robin Bertrand vs Patrick Zahrajbacked Patrick Zahraj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$49.4
Birmingham: Mark Lajal vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.4
Heilbronn: Lorenzo Giustino vs Marko Topobacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.19
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.5
Kosice: Peter Fajta vs Paulo Dos Santosbacked Paulo Dos Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Roland Garros ATP: Marin Cilic vs Moise Kouamebacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Centurion: Robert Strombachs vs Robin Bertrandbacked Robert Strombachs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$71.4
Showing 25 of 110 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.59
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)backed FC Porto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.4
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$97.06
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$89.3
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$109.2
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+100%+$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+67%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monaco vs. Barcelonabacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$78.95
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Panathinaikosbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$256.57
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikosbacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$122.27
Virtus Bologna vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$114
All 5 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.6
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$108.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$114.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$117.78
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.