La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe41a8a0ef2b9e527b1f010961052dbc472bfaff0887cab2fa45dc5ba18ec5601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,926 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 3,103$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.05 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,938$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.46 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.99 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 49c | 974.81$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.15 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 46c | 748.04$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.85 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 654.54$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.33 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 611.22$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.74 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 61c | 583.92$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.13 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 38c | 540.26$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.26 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 59c | 361.2$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.75 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 56c | 340.45$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.7 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 41c | 322$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.94 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 47c | 219.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…126cbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 186.45$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 148.64$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Yes | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 51c | 100.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…906bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…30abbacked Yes | 51c | 97.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 24c | 86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…aecbbacked Yes | 47c | 84.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 36c | 79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…e3cabacked Yes | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 61c | 53.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 36c | 48.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed Yes | 52c | 48.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 51c | 46.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 46.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 50c | 40.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 48c | 33.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 51c | 32.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 48c | 32.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…f00dbacked Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 65c | 16.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-03-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.