TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbfa0…7191

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
194
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 55 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT12349.6%61 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.79
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.26
Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.14
Spread: Raptors (-1.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.9
Timberwolves vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.16
Raptors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.16
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.04
Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.07
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.9
Knicks vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$54.37
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$38.14
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$50.79
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.46
Pacers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.52
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.26
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+171%+$106.99
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$53.78
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.9
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+234.2%+$44.64
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$22.85
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.49
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50.27
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$11.65
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17.09
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$62.27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$18.39
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.64
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$81.59
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.34
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.21
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.73
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.55
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.79
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.81
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$36.18
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$20
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$31.55
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+127.3%+$57.93
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.21
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+122.2%+$13.9
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.12
Will CD Leganés vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.15
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$77.88
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25.03
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$36.53
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+150%+$28.44
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.84
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.48
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.84
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.61
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.36
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.18
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+132.6%+$23.91
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.98
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.29
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.27
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+316.7%+$110.2
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$184.08
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$253.05
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+127.3%+$28.55
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$23.22
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick45cpaid-74.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.15
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$10.28
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Le Havre AC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$208.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+44.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$12.08
Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5)backed Querétaro FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Morgan State Bears (-2.5)backed Delaware State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.