NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87b90fb1a57faff1d517032ee967c65ad801e83973314b066ec524aeca36c847
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,432,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,432,458 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,590 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Bucks | 36c | 200,000$72,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,999.52 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Bucks | 35c | 148,571$52,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,999.53 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks | 34c | 141,168$48,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,473.85 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Bucks | 41c | 131,110$53,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,754.95 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 37c | 108,510$40,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,532.87 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 61c | 102,311$62,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,517.7 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Magic | 63c | 78,019$48,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,221.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Magic | 68c | 77,237$52,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,592.56 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Magic | 61c | 63,631$39,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,544.95 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Magic | 64c | 56,400$36,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,304.01 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Magic | 66c | 45,455$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,454.93 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Magic | 64c | 45,000$29,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,999.98 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Magic | 61c | 42,345$25,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,514.6 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 70c | 40,141$28,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,101.78 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Magic | 59c | 36,061$21,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,717.58 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks | 35c | 34,032$11,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.14 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 35c | 33,336$11,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,611.91 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 62c | 25,360$15,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,592.3 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Bucks | 26c | 24,800$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,479.97 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Magic | 67c | 24,300$16,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,019 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Magic | 60c | 23,479$14,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,317.25 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks | 24c | 22,964$5,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,547.49 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Bucks | 3c | 22,700$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.16 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Magic | 61c | 22,126$13,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,520.56 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks | 20c | 21,609$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,310.48 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 24c | 20,492$4,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,878.63 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…7dfbbacked Bucks | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…3846backed Magic | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bucks | 14c | 20,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Magic | 62c | 18,658$11,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,101.74 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked Magic | 65c | 18,438$11,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,453.12 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Magic | 62c | 16,833$10,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,444.51 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bucks | 43c | 16,690$7,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,221.01 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Bucks | 37c | 16,137$5,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,970.69 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Magic | 60c | 16,045$9,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,355.36 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…c0dcbacked Bucks | 42c | 16,000$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,720 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Magic | 65c | 15,969$10,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,589.18 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Magic | 62c | 15,843$9,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,949.45 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Bucks | 42c | 14,300$6,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,006 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Magic | 58c | 14,300$8,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,006 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Magic | 60c | 13,075$7,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,208.91 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Magic | 59c | 12,554$7,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,147.26 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Magic | 66c | 12,000$7,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080.02 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Magic | 59c | 11,997$7,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,889.08 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Magic | 59c | 11,700$6,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,797.06 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Magic | 65c | 11,680$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.57 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 75c | 11,467$8,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89a…8667backed Magic | 64c | 10,167$6,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,626.73 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Bucks | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Magic | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.16 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks | 0c | 9,805$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c5…f9e9backed Bucks | 47c | 9,440$4,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,436.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5609…df51backed Magic | 53c | 9,430$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,432.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…2d0fbacked Bucks | 47c | 9,420$4,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,427.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…df78backed Magic | 72c | 9,000$6,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.19 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Magic | 65c | 8,526$5,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.41 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…c469backed Magic | 53c | 8,412$4,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,953.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 63c | 7,904$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.61 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Magic | 64c | 7,813$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.5 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Bucks | 41c | 7,317$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Magic | 66c | 7,248$4,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.48 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Bucks | 21c | 7,220$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.99 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Bucks | 33c | 7,108$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.97 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Magic | 67c | 7,030$4,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Bucks | 14c | 6,539$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.52 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Magic | 61c | 5,613$3,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.02 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…aab5backed Bucks | 15c | 5,457$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.43 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Magic | 59c | 5,370$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.87 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Magic | 58c | 5,340$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.71 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Bucks | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Magic | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.41 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bucks | 26c | 4,935$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.54 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Magic | 61c | 4,669$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.73 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Magic | 59c | 4,550$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,865.5 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Bucks | 1c | 4,547$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…49b4backed Magic | 59c | 4,373$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.18 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…c40ebacked Magic | 65c | 4,358$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.33 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Magic | 78c | 4,306$3,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.55 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bucks | 38c | 4,003$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.89 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…34e4backed Magic | 65c | 3,770$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Magic | 73c | 3,750$2,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.4 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Magic | 66c | 3,715$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.16 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Magic | 78c | 3,690$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.46 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Magic | 58c | 3,680$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.6 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Magic | 65c | 3,676$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.9 | 163 | 70.6%115 W · 48 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Magic | 63c | 3,538$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.41 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks | 25c | 3,527$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.38 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Bucks | 35c | 3,429$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Magic | 59c | 3,422$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.39 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Magic | 71c | 3,303$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.87 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…9841backed Magic | 53c | 3,296$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Bucks | 34c | 3,255$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.53 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6f…2fafbacked Bucks | 42c | 3,200$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…8494backed Magic | 58c | 3,200$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bucks | 17c | 3,187$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.85 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Bucks | 40c | 3,020$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.18 | 426 | 45.5%194 W · 232 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…db39backed Magic | 66c | 3,018$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.18 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Magic | 57c | 3,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c32…e11dbacked Bucks | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Bucksthis page
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Magic vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Over won
- Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5Over won
- Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Under won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.