TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 25.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,677

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,677 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No67c1,707$1,148 inWon+$558.7665762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No58c1,015$589 inWon+$426.171,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Yes42c985$414 inLost-$413.777549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb43…2a33backed Yes32c980.93$319 inLost-$318.55616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-69.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No65c511.72$335 inWon+$177.064,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes33c444$149 inLost-$148.739348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No67c372.37$251 inWon+$121.4520536.6%75 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7574…9be2backed Yes33c304.3$100 inLost-$1002373.9%17 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+51.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Yes41c270.97$110 inLost-$1105541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Yes32c178.13$57 inLost-$5713138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6138…eac5backed Yes32c171.88$55 inLost-$552133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…4eb0backed Yes33c163.64$54 inLost-$542030%6 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ef…3792backed Yes33c133.33$44 inLost-$443729.7%11 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No59c76.45$45 inWon+$31.3483158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No68c49.99$34 inWon+$1696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No60c40$24 inWon+$1688057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdda2…ba18backed Yes33c38.64$13 inLost-$12.655131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No68c30$20 inWon+$9.61,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed No69c16.22$11 inWon+$5.032857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.