NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c746cfe5b3e50ed5a948a6f147a3da290bb11c4867cffb28a1d3c04b88cf5bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,729 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 50c | 9,323$4,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,635.81 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Under | 38c | 5,447$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,404.38 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 4,758$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.2 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 4,136$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.15 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 3,413$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…a2cabacked Over | 44c | 3,132$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e9…a60cbacked Over | 45c | 2,160$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 1,482$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.02 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 1,167$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.89 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.99 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 52c | 1,087$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.53 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 45c | 1,063$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.38 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Over | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 22c | 680.15$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.59 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 654.66$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.23 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 52c | 653.85$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 48c | 603.15$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.51 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 14c | 519.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.98 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 41c | 474.64$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.51 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 51c | 441.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.57 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 62c | 428.81$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.96 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 41c | 426.68$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.74 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 39c | 405.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 52c | 396.3$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.02 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa145…9542backed Over | 48c | 376$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 57c | 369.62$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.15 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 54c | 336$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.56 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 63c | 316$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.08 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 9c | 313.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.08 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked Over | 6c | 298.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 54c | 292.49$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.48 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 59c | 281.65$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.17 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 276.54$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.62 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 259.24$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.86 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 49c | 221.56$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Over | 38c | 201.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e32…d479backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 131 | 15.3%20 W · 111 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…d0b8backed Over | 45c | 198.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff61…e560backed Over | 63c | 189.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a9…3d3abacked Under | 54c | 189$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 188$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…07b0backed Under | 59c | 187$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df1…6b99backed Over | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…b098backed Under | 55c | 181.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 41c | 178.34$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 48c | 177.73$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 63c | 176.31$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.31 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 163.08$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…e5d4backed Over | 43c | 159$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x855c…fa95backed Over | 47c | 156.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 148.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b37…bc24backed Over | 43c | 136$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 64c | 125.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 18c | 121.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.34 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 53c | 117.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Under | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 62c | 116$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Over | 44c | 113.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 46c | 107.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 52c | 102.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea5…c77bbacked Over | 68c | 102.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 63c | 100.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 63c | 98.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 63c | 80.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Under | 15c | 75.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Over | 57c | 72.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 47c | 71.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2d…181dbacked Under | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35c1…70a3backed Under | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 43c | 59.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Under | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 52c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 37c | 56.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa175…037bbacked Under | 57c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 59c | 49.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Under | 55c | 49.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 24c | 48.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79e…56d0backed Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…c0e6backed Under | 57c | 41.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…5266backed Under | 57c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…48e8backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 50c | 39.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 56c | 35.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…9a46backed Over | 57c | 35.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5this page
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Magic vs. BucksMagic won
- Magic vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Over won
- Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5Over won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.