TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdea5…c77b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Boxing, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 55 out of 100; worst Commodities at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$18
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.94
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.75
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.1
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.3
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.5
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.37
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.29
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.99
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$10.75
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$14.09
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
All 22 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$62
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.24
Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+150.7%+$43.01
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$199.67
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$186
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$46.2
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+78.7%+$117.18
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+99.2%+$12.45
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$41.11
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$86.32
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.64
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$31.95
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
All 18 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Olivia Rodrigo have 6 or more songs in Billboard top 10 for week of June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Olivia Rodrigo have 5 songs in Billboard top 10 for week of June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.4
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$27.04
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.57
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$61.49
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$15.79
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$26.85
Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$4.48
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.73
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard #1 song for the week of April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Un Verano Sin Ti by Bad Bunny be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
Will Opalite by Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+61.5%+$34.05
Will Choosin’ Texas by Ella Langley be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+44.6%+$27.78
Will Man I Need by Olivia Dean be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$44.83
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.6
Bucks vs. Heat: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Wizards vs. Magic: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Suns vs. Pacers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
Magic vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.02
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
Knicks vs. Lakers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$17.26
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.71
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+50.6%+$10.59
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.42
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.78
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.06
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.8
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$9.03
Will Hegseth or Cooper say "Hormuz" 3+ times during press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$28.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$85.46
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$68.05
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.5
Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 28 over 30% on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.69
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+73.6%+$70.94
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$86.21
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-52.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$13.22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$39.1
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.89
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.57
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.94
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+46.6%+$6.36
All 10 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+46.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25.45
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18.31
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+177%+$83.96
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+196.9%+$232.93
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$90.1
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+192.8%+$67.82
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+65.6%+$22.57
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+37%+$5.55
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+141.7%+$19.15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.21
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.88
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Keyd (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$84.7
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Keyd - Map 2 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+72.5%+$46.58
Counter-Strike: G2 vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+26.8%+$11.25
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$16.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.9%+$5.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.