TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,258

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,258 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c43,666$21,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,291.872,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over51c36,770$18,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,752.9438253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over51c29,373$14,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,941.4743542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Over52c15,979$8,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,233.3960351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c13,014$6,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,698.959,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over52c9,316$4,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,843.841,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under48c8,590$4,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,466.9117554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under49c7,000$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,57058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c6,843$3,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,483.624,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under47c6,131$2,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.4322648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under49c3,653$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.9887750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5901,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over52c2,911$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.771,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c2,906$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.454,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f50…3191backed Over61c2,711$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.037865.4%51 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under51c2,270$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.1570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under49c2,189$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.12,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c2,025$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.256,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.181,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c1,798$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.023,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over54c1,744$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.432,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over50c1,070$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.220744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Under48c1,040$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.822143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c1,039$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.55,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Over50c1,022$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51013435.8%48 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3930446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over51c972$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49151354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Under53c936.26$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.1911942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under38c840.66$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.21,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under46c778.91$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.618445.2%38 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under51c771.6$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.383,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under53c735.85$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.8534854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x435c…66a8backed Under51c642$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c611.27$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.093,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29416148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under47c599.98$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.9949345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c554.3$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x534d…627cbacked Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over49c455.6$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.0276653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under50c451.72$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.971,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under48c432.91$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.1154747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6211142.3%47 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012151.2%62 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b55…2a3fbacked Over49c322$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ab…19a4backed Over49c320$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over53c319.57$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3741947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under53c292.98$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.7945452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Under52c288.68$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.688647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over53c270$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.145646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under53c257.88$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.143,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under41c255.46$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.517243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa80…f251backed Over54c247.11$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under51c240.24$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4691846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under45c239.52$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.8665542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under49c208.57$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3722746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10636643.2%158 W · 208 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over49c199.89$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9549938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005151%26 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under48c191$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.321,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4949…478ebacked Under53c188.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.593548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Under47c171.28$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2815949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under49c160.26$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8264844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under39c155$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.021,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c152.27$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.184,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Over54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7fb…5623backed Over69c144.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over53c135$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5556547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over54c117.14$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2692058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under49c116.16$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4d…884bbacked Over68c113.97$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under45c110$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.522453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under52c105.8$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5689444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under49c105$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5578652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1715953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over54c102$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.571,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4958754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567154.9%39 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5067921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4941052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Over70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7019166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over53c99.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9935739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under48c96$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9228243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over45c90.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.135,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over32c85.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.371,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Over51c83.35$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5122850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Under47c77.89$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.283551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under55c76$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9114636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over52c73.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.984,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under48c71.45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1576250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over39c67.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2512227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over53c67.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7834047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over53c67.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7857250%286 W · 286 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Over53c64.81$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3523349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under49c64.2$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0652552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over52c63.91$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2326756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under48c63.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4162844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.