TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,900

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,900 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over51c9,746$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00017246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over53c8,733$4,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,628.4943542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c5,062$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,692.319,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Under50c4,664$2,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3324742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c4,465$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.232,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c4,020$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.114,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over50c2,900$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45018536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Under46c2,397$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.3811243.8%49 W · 63 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under47c2,100$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11337755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under50c2,041$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.642,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over55c1,532$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over55c1,335$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73440451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over55c1,015$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.9533146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under46c936.3$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.333,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bd3…9447backed Over51c911$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c827.35$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.054,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.331,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff0…d44fbacked Over51c794$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over50c779.95$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.462,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under50c749$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.519954.8%109 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8411…43febacked Over51c669$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under47c615$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.9554747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under46c571$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.342,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4694…b6b2backed Over56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010647.2%50 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Over54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27027052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under50c498$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25122746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb167…78cfbacked Under49c460$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5164…332abacked Under49c451$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over9c450$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9167921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over51c439.99$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.3949938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f4c…dca5backed Under49c415$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e02…0f24backed Under49c403$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c396.4$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.018,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b3…3882backed Under49c391$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc377…c730backed Over55c366.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c335.21$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.353,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Under47c317.95$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.0611942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Over55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16566645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under49c293.14$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.5791148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Over55c287.27$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15819554.9%107 W · 88 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa723…7920backed Under49c254$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c229.4$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.822,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over50c209.8$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.991846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under38c200.61$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.561,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Over51c200.38$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.220147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over57c185.81$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.913259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under46c185.18$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1463447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed Over55c180.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012151.2%62 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c162.05$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0384342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd10e…18dfbacked Over55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.52744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over55c136.42$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0312542.4%53 W · 72 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over55c131.48$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.315,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under42c130$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.422453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf986…6833backed Under47c119.38$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.729850%49 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Under45c105.93$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2645653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over55c102$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.591,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over51c99.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9765649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b6…41a7backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507247.2%34 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under47c88.26$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7887453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Over56c87.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c9…f6e0backed Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508040%32 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under47c80.2$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5152552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Over73c79.14$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7719166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over54c76.65$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.531,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under45c75.42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4814533.1%48 W · 97 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Under46c71.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.747744.2%34 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Over54c71.27$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4912552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Under50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3525752.5%135 W · 122 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under52c65.77$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.593,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under43c65.18$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.893,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under50c64.68$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3462844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1093…d547backed Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309768%66 W · 31 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1465872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c56.47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a76…2890backed Over55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016052.5%84 W · 76 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4bf…c71ebacked Over55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Over56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016555.2%91 W · 74 L-12.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Over56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2838464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.561253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Over64c49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.344944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over54c48.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2660346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb351…5f41backed Over56c45.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.332250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under47c45.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9664844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Over54c45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1516150.9%82 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8236350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdea5…c77bbacked Over60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fb…974abacked Over52c39.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215048%24 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x534d…627cbacked Over52c38.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c36.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.744,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b9…ea2abacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under41c34.05$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.021,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.128056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over58c28.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.143,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a2…e53fbacked Over51c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe343…ab9ebacked Over50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over51c22.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1123350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Over55c21.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1256454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d3e…6a59backed Over56c21.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124161%25 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.242551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.