TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a76…2890

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
396
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Olympics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT18254.4%99 W · 83 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 182 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,666Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,665.71
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$666.67
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$191.8
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$154.55
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$664.67
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.48
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$21.45
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$168.05
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$29.95
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.45
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.97
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs EYEBALLERS (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.05
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.85
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$94.43
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs B8 (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$27.76
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Passion UA (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.08
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84.72
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Showing 25 of 182 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT16052.5%84 W · 76 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 160 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$244
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$938Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$360.35
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$255.41
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$245.45
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$259
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$37.46
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$128.57
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$171
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$235.33
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.49
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$204.44
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$186.1
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$255.56
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$579.57
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$224.64
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$942.61
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$177.04
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$792
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 160 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$709.4
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81%+$81
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$84.78
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$307.59
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$99.63
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$97.44
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$74.67
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+55.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$7,188.19
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,756Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+211.4%+$10,052.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$42.06
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipeibacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockxbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,929Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,928.63
Generali Open: Sebastian Baez vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$252.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$131.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+56.3%+$19.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$635.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Anadolu Efesbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.