TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, FOKUS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,506 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e2f…ec47backed FOKUS43c8,811$3,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,788.6925842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked PARIVISION57c4,871$2,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,094.7914954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x065d…f0f1backed PARIVISION54c3,810$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.071464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked FOKUS39c3,547$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.8698052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed FOKUS47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe705…f910backed FOKUS27c2,879$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.33751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FOKUS41c2,730$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.323,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked PARIVISION61c2,709$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.3465650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed PARIVISION58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked PARIVISION52c2,434$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.175652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked PARIVISION73c2,022$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.8712465.3%81 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed FOKUS46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9201,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked FOKUS48c1,960$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.9984454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked PARIVISION57c1,709$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.9214144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked PARIVISION61c1,605$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.5227740.8%113 W · 164 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed PARIVISION68c1,416$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.2831345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed FOKUS43c1,400$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.9913044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked PARIVISION72c1,358$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.3629052.4%152 W · 138 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbea…8e58backed FOKUS47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.972254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed PARIVISION56c991.84$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.8155845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed PARIVISION57c974.2$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.9133452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed FOKUS29c957.4$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.6520251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab2…a999backed PARIVISION53c916.79$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.894461.4%27 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf171…85febacked PARIVISION57c683.76$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.087350.7%37 W · 36 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked FOKUS40c669.31$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.721,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed PARIVISION57c487.1$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.4550043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed FOKUS28c392.7$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9517230.8%53 W · 119 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed FOKUS46c387$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4445244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed PARIVISION53c362.5$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3760451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed FOKUS44c299.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13223851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed FOKUS41c289.38$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6583543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed FOKUS41c274$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0850947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef71…898bbacked FOKUS41c263.34$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9712946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bde…3800backed PARIVISION74c239.25$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.335162.7%32 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked PARIVISION72c220$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6826048.8%127 W · 133 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed PARIVISION53c218.66$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.771,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed FOKUS48c203.21$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4161154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed FOKUS48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8827744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed FOKUS44c200$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8960848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed PARIVISION56c194.89$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8524055.8%134 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked PARIVISION57c172.62$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2339157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd07c…26fdbacked PARIVISION57c170.57$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.352236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed FOKUS42c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.42,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed FOKUS41c143.75$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9416349.1%80 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed FOKUS22c121$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9745224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed PARIVISION73c101.59$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8231757.7%183 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e9…b13abacked PARIVISION72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2819954.3%108 W · 91 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed FOKUS28c95.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7965546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed PARIVISION60c94.95$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9852449%257 W · 267 L-27.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed FOKUS44c94.44$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.561,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c00…9901backed PARIVISION53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.09771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70dc…56aebacked PARIVISION53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.094156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed FOKUS25c85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6564439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e1…c2babacked PARIVISION54c82.28$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7247146.7%220 W · 251 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed FOKUS39c76.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3036846.7%172 W · 196 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f4a…43abbacked PARIVISION53c73.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4718451.1%94 W · 90 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed PARIVISION60c73.12$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.296545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed PARIVISION73c67.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.191741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7cf…7825backed FOKUS52c63.84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.272035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed PARIVISION52c59.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7923057%131 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a76…2890backed PARIVISION53c55.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8518254.4%99 W · 83 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0fc…0ef5backed PARIVISION53c55.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.858359%49 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x399c…6191backed PARIVISION53c55.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8516965.1%110 W · 59 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd68d…1f62backed PARIVISION57c51.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0525446.1%117 W · 137 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaff…5f75backed FOKUS42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215223.1%12 W · 40 L-9.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-52.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8f9e…10c8backed PARIVISION73c48.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.187051.4%36 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed FOKUS42c47.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.012,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked PARIVISION59c45.29$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.44942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed PARIVISION42c43.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1927556.4%155 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8423…2acfbacked PARIVISION56c43.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.881947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9cb…0134backed PARIVISION73c40.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9220145.8%92 W · 109 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked FOKUS36c39.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1647260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked PARIVISION53c38.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2781246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ba…33b9backed PARIVISION60c38.06$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2314262%88 W · 54 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed PARIVISION53c34.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.314271.4%30 W · 12 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaabb…9ab8backed PARIVISION57c34.18$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.711650%58 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed PARIVISION60c30.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2741848.8%204 W · 214 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d3d…9c2dbacked PARIVISION55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.510100%10 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x5be2…8fa3backed PARIVISION57c29.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5721762.7%136 W · 81 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb972…f81cbacked PARIVISION53c27.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.934163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6055…c9dcbacked PARIVISION57c24.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.543450%17 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed PARIVISION58c23.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1075450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb34a…4f29backed PARIVISION73c22.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.19742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd6…8c92backed PARIVISION57c17.56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.55837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.