CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d4f1e4c13c0e60290dacab865def8522d49d5a036d302737d2124ec070f5be0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FOKUS | 11c | 4,766$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.33 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked FOKUS | 10c | 2,976$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.85 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed FOKUS | 1c | 2,545$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FOKUS | 9c | 2,002$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.18 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FOKUS | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FOKUS | 9c | 1,998$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.82 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed FOKUS | 9c | 1,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FOKUS | 6c | 1,586$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked FOKUS | 2c | 1,200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FOKUS | 18c | 969.2$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.63 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked FOKUS | 6c | 965.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed PARIVISION | 76c | 907.79$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.87 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed FOKUS | 11c | 799.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FOKUS | 11c | 757.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 753.19$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.3 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS | 4c | 738.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed FOKUS | 24c | 686.06$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.65 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed FOKUS | 25c | 673$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.25 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS | 4c | 601.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FOKUS | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed FOKUS | 12c | 407.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FOKUS | 22c | 323.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1698…68e8backed PARIVISION | 75c | 263.77$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 114 | 70.2%80 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked FOKUS | 10c | 230.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d538backed FOKUS | 25c | 217.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4554…9694backed FOKUS | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FOKUS | 26c | 164.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked PARIVISION | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed FOKUS | 22c | 126.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FOKUS | 16c | 109.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…ea72backed FOKUS | 14c | 97.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked FOKUS | 22c | 95.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac1…236ebacked PARIVISION | 74c | 92.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FOKUS | 15c | 85.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FOKUS | 26c | 83.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…f72bbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 62.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 319 | 50.5%161 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed FOKUS | 24c | 47.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed PARIVISION | 79c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 40.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed PARIVISION | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc32…32f8backed PARIVISION | 74c | 21.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StagePARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.