TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbc32…32f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nickeil Alexander-Walker win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.45
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$9.82
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.26
Nets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.94
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.89
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.12
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.36
Pelicans vs. Kings: 1H O/U 119.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.29
Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.42
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.39
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.18
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.22
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - FiReCONTER Playoffsbacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+36%+$5.77
Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs BOSS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffsbacked LAG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.1
Counter-Strike: eLITenergy vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked QUAZAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$6.5
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.12
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs MAGICOS - Map 1 Winnerbacked MAGICOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.87
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.1
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Passion UA (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.68
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs The Last Resort (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Donstu Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs aimclub (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Kraken (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.17
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.88
Maple Leafs vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.71
Blackhawks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
Canucks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.67
Spread: Wild (-2.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.67
Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.79
Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.78
Canucks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.83
All 11 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-69.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+162%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.03
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 327?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$15.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. BC Dubaibacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.