NHL · resolved market
Spread: Wild (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a4249db97d46e8c98ee35e68aa836f18cc4c7a6036c126d59faa2ef59122532
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Wild, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Canucks | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.99 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Wild | 46c | 18,763$8,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,132.03 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Wild | 46c | 1,861$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.85 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Canucks | 53c | 1,503$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.46 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Wild | 46c | 402.72$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.79 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canucks | 53c | 383.09$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.04 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Wild | 47c | 331.46$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.05 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Canucks | 74c | 323.89$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.19 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Canucks | 53c | 321.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.66 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wild | 23c | 252.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.08 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 58c | 248.65$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Canucks | 60c | 145$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wild | 44c | 135.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.73 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Wild | 46c | 116.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canucks | 50c | 87.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Canucks | 42c | 86.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Wild | 51c | 75.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Canucks | 48c | 60.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Canucks | 61c | 49.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Canucks | 54c | 40.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Canucks | 42c | 38.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc32…32f8backed Canucks | 54c | 33.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Wild | 45c | 31.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wild | 39c | 30.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Wild | 53c | 29.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Wild | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Canucks | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wild (-2.5)this page
- Canucks vs. WildWild won
- Canucks vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Wild won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.