NHL · resolved market
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x486f01a3cc1aa8c5248177bf1011880ea18b1f4db6986983d30d24c535ac2fa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Wild, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Canucks | 40c | 9,998$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.2 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Wild | 60c | 8,645$5,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.86 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed Wild | 60c | 4,792$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.73 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canucks | 40c | 3,626$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.25 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wild | 60c | 1,642$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.38 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Wild | 60c | 949.26$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.2 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Wild | 60c | 905.52$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.21 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wild | 58c | 783.14$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.92 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc645…e8bbbacked Wild | 60c | 500.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.28 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canucks | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Canucks | 42c | 461.15$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.65 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Canucks | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Wild | 59c | 375.9$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.12 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canucks | 49c | 375.2$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.24 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Canucks | 41c | 354.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.62 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Wild | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Canucks | 40c | 230.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Canucks | 40c | 230.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Canucks | 40c | 230.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Canucks | 40c | 230.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Canucks | 40c | 230.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Canucks | 40c | 230.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Canucks | 40c | 230.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Canucks | 40c | 230.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Canucks | 40c | 230.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Canucks | 40c | 230.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Canucks | 40c | 230.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Canucks | 40c | 230.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Wild | 60c | 195.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wild | 50c | 192.7$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.78 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Wild | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Wild | 61c | 162.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.23 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Canucks | 40c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Canucks | 40c | 144.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Canucks | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Wild | 62c | 114.52$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wild | 61c | 113.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Wild | 63c | 93.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Canucks | 39c | 86.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wild | 51c | 80.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Wild | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Canucks | 40c | 77.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Canucks | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Wild | 59c | 71.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9f…3973backed Canucks | 40c | 70.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wild | 56c | 70.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Canucks | 44c | 68.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Canucks | 40c | 60.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Canucks | 40c | 60.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Canucks | 40c | 47.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Canucks | 40c | 42.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Canucks | 36c | 41.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Wild | 48c | 39.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Canucks | 40c | 38.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Canucks | 40c | 37.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wild | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Canucks | 38c | 35.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Wild | 55c | 33.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wild | 34c | 33.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Canucks | 41c | 33.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Wild | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wild | 60c | 32.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Canucks | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Wild | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Wild | 60c | 26.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 235 | 59.1%139 W · 96 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…171ebacked Wild | 61c | 21.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Wild | 56c | 21.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)this page
- Canucks vs. WildWild won
- Canucks vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Wild (-2.5)Wild won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.