TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea4b…dede

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
279
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT9947.5%47 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$91.37
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.37
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$103.64
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.64
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.57
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.06
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$95.69
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.18
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$95.69
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.62
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-11.5)backed High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$215.98
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.64
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)backed Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.57
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-24.5)backed Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.22
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$93.26
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)backed Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.45
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-7.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$95.69
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.95
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$103.64
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-5.5)backed Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.55
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.76
Weber State Wildcats vs. Eastern Washington Eaglesbacked Eastern Washington Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.22
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-18.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.36
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT8055%44 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$197.93
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.4
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$77.54
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.1
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.72
Spread: Clippers (-3.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.83
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.34
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.44
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.36
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.1
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.7
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$44.95
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$399.99
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$71.1
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.78
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$20.2
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$22
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$97.3
Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$159.39
Mavericks vs. Hornetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$74.27
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$77.97
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.36
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.4
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.8
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$105.79
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$70.78
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.14
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$31.71
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.59
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$13.97
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.39
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102.83
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.74
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$77.54
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.89
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$87.7
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81
Houston Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$95.12
Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.7
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.09
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$19.95
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$174.93
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.65
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Wild (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.23
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$89.3
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.1
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$97.02
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.1
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$64.71
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+127.3%+$127.68
Senators vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24.47
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$32.12
Penguins vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$60.19
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Flyers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+222.6%+$556.42
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Sabres vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.51
Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.1
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55.4
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+92.3%+$22.64
Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$48.96
Flyers vs. Rangersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+130.1%+$64.25
Blackhawks vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24.49
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$17.08
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$24.57
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$13.32
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.08
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.7
Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.98
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$70.59
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$77.27
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.04
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$20.47
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick63cpaid-56.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grand Prix Hassan II: Corentin Moutet vs Marco Trungellitibacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
Morelos: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$98.33
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$99.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$273.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BC Dubai vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.