TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,090

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,056 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over59c42,453$25,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,263.7556152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under41c12,323$5,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,052.291,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under39c10,255$4,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,043.831,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under40c7,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80033151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under41c6,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,46012838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under40c5,803$2,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3216147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under41c4,878$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over59c3,870$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.0119353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over61c3,825$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.5985250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over59c3,400$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.151,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over61c2,484$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.3986852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Over60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.992853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Under40c1,954$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.5221755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under40c1,903$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.0321849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Under45c1,899$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.553354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Over55c1,449$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.729146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under42c1,119$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.984240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under40c1,104$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.636748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x221d…e800backed Under40c1,061$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.86657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under44c1,027$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.733,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over60c888.38$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.5343456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over61c824$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.364264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under43c742.57$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.33342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over57c702.99$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.2966552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under41c688.1$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.928837.5%33 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under39c570.55$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.071,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over60c520$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.491653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Under4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207317.8%13 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under45c498.11$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.1532650%163 W · 163 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over57c438$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.3438844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Under40c382.53$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0148157.2%275 W · 206 L+21.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under39c328.13$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.241,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under41c268.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Over75c267.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.019347.3%44 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Under40c264.03$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.613847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under38c250$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66cc…c578backed Under40c247.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013450.7%68 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ef…cdd9backed Under40c187.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1298…97b6backed Under51c186.43$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f15…a877backed Under28c180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under10c178.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8331828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5542…01cebacked Under40c164.51$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.81181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick59cpaid+42.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under40c124.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9926657.1%152 W · 114 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead8…ce1abacked Under45c110.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53d3…a7aebacked Under42c103.83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0f6…451cbacked Under40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over60c97.94$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.181,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda9b…b2a9backed Under41c95.62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.832040%8 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0180…c759backed Under40c84.75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.243748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under42c83.42$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.042,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Under44c82.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.453050%15 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Over54c80.52$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0483652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd91c…985ebacked Under40c71.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.961850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over56c64.66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4522352.9%118 W · 105 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over67c63.75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.989355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cc6…31d3backed Under40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Under41c61.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2533154.1%179 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under41c60.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9886049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under28c54.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2786549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020364.5%131 W · 72 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Over80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10862.5%5 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick77cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e7…53e1backed Under40c49.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82347.8%11 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-9.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x53db…480ebacked Under40c49.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.685060%30 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Under41c48.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032155.5%178 W · 143 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Under41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029052.4%152 W · 138 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Under41c46.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1924352.3%127 W · 116 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc46a…baf8backed Under40c43.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.531145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68d8…4cc6backed Under41c43.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1816250%81 W · 81 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc868…7bd7backed Under41c43.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea4b…dedebacked Over58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.12646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over60c42.41$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7827453.6%147 W · 127 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Over60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6778443.8%343 W · 441 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Under41c41.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1724749%121 W · 126 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Under48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.25052%26 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Under41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.47647.4%36 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Under44c38.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.721,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b7…be96backed Under40c37.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.192147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Under47c37.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.751643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7911…85a6backed Under40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158652.3%45 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd040…4e6bbacked Under40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Over61c36.76$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4320857.7%120 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1556553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26be…2e3cbacked Under40c34.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under39c33.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.265721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xdf29…6870backed Under40c32.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.164158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6af…6a2bbacked Under40c32.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9df6…556fbacked Under41c31.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.843842.1%16 W · 22 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-25.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over61c31.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2119356%108 W · 85 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Under40c28.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2912058.3%70 W · 50 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over59c27.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9827250%136 W · 136 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Under41c26.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1129053.4%155 W · 135 L+1.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under40c26.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6218551.9%96 W · 89 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2466…92a4backed Under40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+80.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b14…b151backed Under40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Over61c21.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3133756.4%190 W · 147 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28a3…8620backed Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814158.2%82 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.259852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over60c19.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7421555.3%119 W · 96 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.