TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda9b…b2a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST2171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+82%+$411.88
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+66.6%+$382.05
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,241Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,145.22
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,306.8
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,215Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+90.7%+$1,102.16
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,194.31
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,151.4
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$4,335.49
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+50.3%+$182.31
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,905Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$1,323.89
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,810Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+63.9%+$1,157.33
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,699Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$1,040.9
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+74.3%+$48.61
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,514Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+127.3%+$1,926.4
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,239.58
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+75.4%+$2,376.62
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,640Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+66.7%+$1,760
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$493.46
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$841Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+143.7%+$1,208.72
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,304Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+54.5%+$1,254.69
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,314Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+102.7%+$1,349.98
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2040%8 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60.49
Bruins vs. Predatorsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$95.49
Maple Leafs vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+80.2%+$37.89
Panthers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+95.5%+$53.57
Sabres vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$141.67
Utah vs. Flyersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+79.6%+$36.67
Hurricanes vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100.55
Blues vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.81
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+127.6%+$206.72
Islanders vs. Ducksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$80.18
Golden Knights vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.88
Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$38.83
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+97.2%+$19.33
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$175.96
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55.13
Wild vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31.8%+$10.55
Golden Knights vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+30%+$16.62
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.84
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.79
Flyers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$26.08
All 20 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$10.86
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$9.02
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.19
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+335.7%+$143.71
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.05
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.58
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.23
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+112.9%+$220.99
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.36
Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.41
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 16.5m and 18m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$16.79
Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.66
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+204.1%+$219.33
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.26
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+121.8%+$43.65
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.36
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.81
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.61
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+156.1%+$251.3
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$249.56
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$29.72
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,849Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+41.2%+$761.9
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$427.93
CF Monterrey vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$454.47
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$7,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$7,053.82
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,979Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,979.11
Club Puebla vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+109.9%+$868.75
SC Internacional vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+93.1%+$399.7
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$134.74
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,438Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$2,292.11
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+128.3%+$87.15
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+105.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+135.6%+$689.77
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+607.8%+$1,969.32
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$7,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$7,031.61
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+116.8%+$151.75
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,482Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,482.28
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+112.4%+$1,245.99
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$244.84
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,417Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+182.8%+$4,417.36
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$165.41
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$28.53
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.43
Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+142.9%+$313.67
Telstar 1963 vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$35.71
FC Groningen vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+83.1%+$232.09
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$779Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+185.8%+$1,446.8
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+108.3%+$10.85
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+59%+$57.31
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$45.95
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+94.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+39.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-67.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$33.59
Spurs vs. Nets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$63.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+43.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$144.62
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+187.3%+$45.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$2,109.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.