CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99aa7aaf65c6ba2deae211e675d19d58f9cb7d1252a77e0c6f1d6d161a570537
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FaZeof Team Falcons, FaZe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed FaZe | 57c | 4,000$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.99 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Team Falcons | 43c | 3,453$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.55 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked FaZe | 52c | 1,573$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.87 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Falcons | 45c | 990.44$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.6 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked FaZe | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed FaZe | 60c | 701.36$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Falcons | 40c | 599.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Team Falcons | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Team Falcons | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 52.8%133 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked FaZe | 74c | 156.32$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd49d…f05cbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 128$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed FaZe | 52c | 128$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed FaZe | 57c | 113.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed FaZe | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Falcons | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 92.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked FaZe | 58c | 87.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Team Falcons | 43c | 79.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed FaZe | 57c | 68.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Team Falcons | 42c | 64.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed FaZe | 61c | 61.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked Team Falcons | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked FaZe | 40c | 58.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Falcons | 43c | 53.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 44c | 47.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked FaZe | 56c | 45.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed FaZe | 58c | 30.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…772abacked FaZe | 57c | 27.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed FaZe | 52c | 19.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FaZe - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FaZe - Map 2 WinnerFaZe won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.