Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04dbb595632b54b92beec78d880ec73a7d0df70ba9289e2b728b0b31878590c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $626,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $667,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $626,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 44c | 211,060$92,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,844.6 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 56c | 123,233$69,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,222.44 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 54c | 46,531$25,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,262.35 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 56c | 39,768$22,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,497.88 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 26,314$11,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,874.1 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 51c | 24,227$12,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,871.06 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 57c | 23,678$13,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,284.97 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Yes | 54c | 16,494$8,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,668.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 56c | 13,157$7,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,807.62 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 44c | 12,476$5,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,489.61 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Yes | 49c | 10,226$5,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,215.12 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 57c | 8,473$4,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,665.01 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 44c | 7,573$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.05 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked No | 44c | 6,693$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,945 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 6,448$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.77 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 5,914$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.05 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 44c | 5,508$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.52 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 43c | 5,391$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.08 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…f1bcbacked No | 50c | 4,760$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…642fbacked Yes | 56c | 4,598$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Yes | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.29 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Yes | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Yes | 58c | 3,132$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 8c | 3,000$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes | 50c | 2,505$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 50c | 2,360$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed No | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 2,100$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.37 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 56c | 2,061$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.84 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.82 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 44c | 1,900$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed No | 44c | 1,797$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…5f47backed No | 51c | 1,752$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 44c | 1,580$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.21 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 44c | 1,400$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.52 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 56c | 1,355$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.54 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 57c | 1,182$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.46 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Yes | 56c | 1,134$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.93 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,120$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.68 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 53c | 1,076$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.72 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 68c | 1,074$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.21 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Yes | 49c | 969.06$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.71 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 57c | 911$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.73 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 57c | 803.51$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 57c | 725$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.75 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 56c | 708.22$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.22 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 36c | 685$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.6 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 54c | 649.99$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.99 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 56c | 617$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.59 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 43c | 599.94$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.98 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 43c | 568$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.54 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 43c | 542.3$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.95 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 4c | 539.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a26…0498backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Yes | 52c | 464.32$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 56c | 430.36$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.36 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 37c | 410.94$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.99 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…d830backed Yes | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 52c | 400$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 390.53$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.97 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f08…f01dbacked Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef8c…ee73backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…cc07backed Yes | 80c | 377.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 59c | 373.14$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.14 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 56c | 360$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 68cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 57c | 351.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.28 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d6…3273backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 44c | 350$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d5…b4b3backed No | 44c | 345.19$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x892b…0607backed Yes | 57c | 337.12$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2d…0d98backed Yes | 50c | 334$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1b20backed No | 44c | 329.27$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Yes | 61c | 316$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed No | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57be…5bb4backed Yes | 51c | 295.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-14?No won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.