TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2a32…0188

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
405
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 56 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT9756.7%55 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$535
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,003
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$77.5
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$398
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$340
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,839.99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$168
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$258
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$72
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$80
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$78
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.2%+$331
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,634Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+71.4%+$1,165.99
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$216
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,097Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+45.9%+$502.98
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+106.2%+$206
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+35.1%+$52
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+38.9%+$140
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$156
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$100
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT9162.6%57 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$555.27
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230
James Harden: Points O/U 19.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$219.99
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.96
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$290
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$210
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.3
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$57.99
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$89.46
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$330
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT6266.1%41 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.79
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$129.71
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.24
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$349.91
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$133.86
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.27
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$370
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$300
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$739.7
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+63%+$232
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+62.3%+$960
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$445
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+56.2%+$72
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$151.95
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$226.19
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+44.4%+$246
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$109.97
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$154.98
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+102.7%+$608
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+38.9%+$140
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$550
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+51.5%+$170
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$355.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$375
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,379.94
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$785Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+27.4%+$215
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+36.7%+$939.99
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2378.3%18 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick67cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$693Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$341.11
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$185
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.98
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.98
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$190
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$959.99
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$264.95
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,510Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+32.5%+$490
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$220
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$175
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+64.8%+$590
Hannover 96 vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$68
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$245.7
FC Bayern München vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$249.94
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$70
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.3%+$118.56
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+44.9%+$155
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$195
SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$76
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$150
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$67.8
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.79
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$84
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.6
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.78
CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$222.18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$505.99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$580
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$719.98
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Girona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$530
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,244.98
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$390
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$484.26
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25%+$100
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$125
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+56.3%+$180
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$3,020
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$800
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.99
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$140.58
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$410
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100.4
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+122.2%+$36.36
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+156.4%+$304.97
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+61%+$340.99
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+69.8%+$739.98
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$705.99
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$125
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$703.99
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+72.4%+$210
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$196
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+44.9%+$62
All 18 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Execration vs Team Nemesis (BO5)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Dota 2: Kukuys vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$101.31
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$153
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+40.8%+$58
Dota 2: Runa Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+26.1%+$11.4
Dota 2: OG vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+57%+$166.96
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+57.9%+$11
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Runa Team (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+46%+$6.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.47
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$11.97
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$923Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$279.44
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$927Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$927.48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,722Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+51%+$878.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$850
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$820
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,155.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,248Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$698.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$33.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$721Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$720.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.