Bundesliga · resolved market
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0286b6350e7f6275614a6f733dcb31b28d3613c533946e82ab14e70740c83828
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,962 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 8,889$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.95 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Under | 15c | 1,358$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 914.52$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.66 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 760.88$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.34 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b1…afbdbacked Over | 60c | 716.11$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 52c | 625$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 12c | 532.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Over | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Over | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.47 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +4.3wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +228.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.33 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 486.6$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.16 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Over | 56c | 399.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 382.86$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.28 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 29c | 373.87$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 13c | 300.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 60c | 289.25$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d25…5f2ebacked Under | 18c | 274.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23b…9094backed Over | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 39c | 257.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 13c | 217.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…66f7backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 47c | 212.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 61 | 82%50 W · 11 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 60c | 171.67$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 13c | 154$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 60c | 154$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…3d00backed Under | 15c | 146.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 63c | 115.87$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 47c | 111.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ea…95d1backed Over | 63c | 96.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 57c | 96.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Over | 68c | 88.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed Over | 58c | 87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…13d5backed Over | 71c | 84.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 75c | 84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Under | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 29c | 77.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 73.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 69.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d6…fa72backed Over | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Over | 63c | 40.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Under | 33c | 36.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 60c | 34.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…6c91backed Over | 61c | 32.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9e97backed Over | 68c | 26.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…e456backed Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…1678backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 65c | 15.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5Under won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.