TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8095…d7ab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
214
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 57 out of 100; worst Weather at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9255.4%51 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.67
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.9
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.5
Norway vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$12.62
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.96
France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+192%+$57.86
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$116
Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$7.22
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT3565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+56.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.8
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.2
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.83
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Wizards vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+122.2%+$162.58
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+669.2%+$69.19
76ers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$12.79
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$23.69
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+300%+$224.25
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+51.5%+$98.6
Jazz vs. Nets: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Clippers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$146.89
Pistons vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Thunder vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Bucks vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Rockets vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
Warriors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.2
Lakers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$79
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Coventry City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Derby County FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Ipswich Town FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$6.13
Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.52
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$8.72
Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$8.87
Middlesbrough FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$3.58
Swansea City AFC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$6.72
Bristol City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$4.95
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+41.5%+$8.24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+74.4%+$25.6
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.2
All 21 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Qingdao Xihaian FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
FC Seoul vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$6.15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IK Start vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Spread: Mjallby AIF (-1.5)backed Vasteraas SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
Halmstads BK vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will Degerfors IF win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Degerfors IF vs. Malmo FF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.19
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Aalesunds FK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
FC Groningen vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$4.95
FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.76
Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick64cpaid+40.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.17
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$5.38
SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+62.7%+$6.32
SC Paderborn 07 vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.29
SV 07 Elversberg vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+38.9%+$3.89
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.82
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$17.85
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$17.86
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$85.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,055Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+37.2%+$392.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$3.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,859Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$494.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$339.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eagles: O/U 135.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.