NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb57b55513c2d58d5cb64f57d67bce0a7ce217e1fbf2426451fd2b3f8ff202528
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Nuggets | 40c | 91,048$36,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,229.85 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Timberwolves | 60c | 61,141$36,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,684.9 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 46,985$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 22,776$11,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,842.34 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 39c | 19,034$7,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,599.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nuggets | 48c | 13,610$6,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,076.99 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Nuggets | 40c | 13,074$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,793.9 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Nuggets | 44c | 11,921$5,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,663.3 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Timberwolves | 54c | 8,695$4,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,695.07 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 6,886$4,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,048.51 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Nuggets | 52c | 5,082$2,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.35 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Timberwolves | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 4,634$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.57 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 35c | 4,575$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.74 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.98 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Nuggets | 40c | 3,200$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.2 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 44c | 3,116$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.91 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 3,084$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.96 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves | 59c | 3,052$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.63 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Nuggets | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed Nuggets | 48c | 2,969$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0c…3018backed Nuggets | 41c | 2,857$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.72 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 46c | 1,960$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.25 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 1,900$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Nuggets | 45c | 1,856$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.8 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,772$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Nuggets | 36c | 1,500$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nuggets | 42c | 1,172$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.54 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Nuggets | 40c | 1,125$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 35c | 1,030$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.43 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Timberwolves | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Nuggets | 39c | 989.74$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.74 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Nuggets | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…4341backed Timberwolves | 58c | 862.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Nuggets | 33c | 750$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Nuggets | 33c | 750$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.5 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets | 36c | 620.15$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Nuggets | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Nuggets | 40c | 599.58$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.75 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 583$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.16 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nuggets | 40c | 568$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.04 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Nuggets | 40c | 557.5$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.5 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Timberwolves | 57c | 500$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.67 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Timberwolves | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Timberwolves | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Nuggets | 40c | 490$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Timberwolves | 59c | 457.63$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Nuggets | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…4b41backed Nuggets | 37c | 399.84$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.9 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Nuggets | 40c | 343$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Nuggets | 39c | 275.67$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.16 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Nuggets | 36c | 271$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.44 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Nuggets | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed Nuggets | 49c | 249.49$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.64 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nuggets | 46c | 240$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Nuggets | 48c | 240$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 211.97$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Timberwolves | 59c | 211.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Timberwolves | 49c | 211.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.45 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…6494backed Nuggets | 46c | 208$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…4185backed Timberwolves | 55c | 208$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Nuggets | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Nuggets | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Nuggets | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nuggets | 39c | 200$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Timberwolves | 60c | 193$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Timberwolves | 60c | 189$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b6…b8f8backed Nuggets | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets | 43c | 180.27$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nuggets | 40c | 168.05$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Nuggets | 45c | 162$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Timberwolves | 52c | 160$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Nuggets | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Nuggets | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Timberwolves | 60c | 148$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Timberwolves | 60c | 142$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Nuggets | 43c | 140.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Nuggets | 48c | 132$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Nuggets | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Nuggets | 41c | 119.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Nuggets | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Nuggets | 40c | 116.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Timberwolves | 60c | 115$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3620…2e6cbacked Nuggets | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Nuggets | 50c | 104.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Nuggets | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Nuggets | 39c | 102.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…54a1backed Nuggets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…4dafbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 90.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Nuggets | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Nuggets | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Nuggets | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 89.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Timberwolves | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Nuggets | 39c | 84.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ae…2103backed Timberwolves | 61c | 81.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)this page
- Julius Randle: Assists Over 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.