NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad050326f2671dde3f58fa2e9ad2d706f85962b813f4be198d2a6844266b78e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 9,999$5,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.5 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…406cbacked Under | 49c | 9,992$4,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,896 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 9,399$4,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,527.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 51c | 7,844$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 49c | 7,242$3,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,549 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 6,082$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.07 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0f…7e57backed Under | 50c | 5,880$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…20e9backed Over | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…d157backed Over | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…8e43backed Under | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e3ecbacked Under | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63e2…bb9bbacked Over | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…388cbacked Over | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…2002backed Over | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd856…f1f6backed Under | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…74c2backed Under | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…c39bbacked Under | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1d…1e31backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…7e7fbacked Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 3,601$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.31 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under | 49c | 3,469$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Under | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeec…c3c9backed Under | 48c | 2,467$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 49c | 2,072$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.6 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 52c | 1,823$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.04 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…60e7backed Under | 48c | 1,771$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 1,187$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.61 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Over | 53c | 1,066$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.13 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f4f4backed Over | 53c | 981.64$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2f…891fbacked Under | 53c | 932.72$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 770.75$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.08 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Over | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 52c | 578.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.9 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 50c | 558$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 488.65$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.44 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Under | 49c | 447$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.03 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 382.54$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef6f…084bbacked Under | 48c | 309.38$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 49c | 286$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.86 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 49c | 261$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 53c | 205.8$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.42 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 49c | 202.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed Over | 30c | 181.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.33 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 48c | 141$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 48c | 139.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 48c | 136$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 49c | 133$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 48c | 113$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5210backed Under | 49c | 106.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 52c | 105.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked Under | 49c | 102.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…f1ecbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 51c | 99.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9367…4751backed Over | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Under | 49c | 97.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 52c | 89.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 52c | 89.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 49c | 71.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1725…7405backed Under | 50c | 68.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 50c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Over | 51c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 49c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0815…4b75backed Over | 50c | 52.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Over | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 47c | 46.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Over | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 49c | 40.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…0d0abacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Over | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5this page
- Julius Randle: Assists Over 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.