NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86bd59530dfcc71cf9143549e79014d35aa995272820a7468f42446f6cd6dbc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 33,709$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nuggets | 41c | 8,798$3,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,187.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Nuggets | 45c | 6,600$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 39c | 3,176$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.99 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 3,090$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.58 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Nuggets | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Nuggets | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,316$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.16 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nuggets | 41c | 1,555$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.53 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Nuggets | 40c | 1,500$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets | 40c | 1,181$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.65 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Nuggets | 45c | 1,110$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.74 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 895$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.35 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 47c | 889.22$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.28 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 50c | 645.09$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.18 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Timberwolves | 55c | 603.33$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.83 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Nuggets | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 48c | 560.52$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Nuggets | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Nuggets | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Nuggets | 45c | 288.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.89 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Nuggets | 50c | 250.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Nuggets | 41c | 240$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Nuggets | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Nuggets | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Nuggets | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…8497backed Nuggets | 49c | 205.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Nuggets | 45c | 201.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.83 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Nuggets | 46c | 197.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.29 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 42c | 157.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Nuggets | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Nuggets | 45c | 135.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Timberwolves | 48c | 127.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nuggets | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Nuggets | 42c | 108.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Nuggets | 43c | 107$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.65 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves | 50c | 106.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…9289backed Timberwolves | 55c | 105.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Nuggets | 45c | 101$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Nuggets | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Nuggets | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Timberwolves | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Nuggets | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Nuggets | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 88.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 79.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Timberwolves | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Nuggets | 41c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Nuggets | 41c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 65.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…44b3backed Nuggets | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Nuggets | 44c | 59.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…4de3backed Timberwolves | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Nuggets | 41c | 54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Nuggets | 41c | 54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Nuggets | 41c | 54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Nuggets | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Nuggets | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 40.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…6e74backed Timberwolves | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Nuggets | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Timberwolves | 52c | 38.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 37.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Nuggets | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Nuggets | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Nuggets | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Nuggets | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Nuggets | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Nuggets | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Nuggets | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Nuggets | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Nuggets | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Nuggets | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Nuggets | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Nuggets | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Nuggets | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Nuggets | 44c | 35.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9f…c2a6backed Timberwolves | 59c | 34.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Timberwolves | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Timberwolves | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Nuggets | 46c | 32.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Nuggets | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Nuggets | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…7544backed Nuggets | 43c | 24.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…31c0backed Timberwolves | 53c | 22.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Timberwolves | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)this page
- Julius Randle: Assists Over 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.