NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8b01169b3cc6c812f4cf84978a00892ee649ed315f96733c1c12d5557831708

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 26, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $65,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $65,072

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,225 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x79db…952fbacked Under	52c	9,615$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	49c	7,906$3,837 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,068.81	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under	51c	5,563$2,837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,836.94	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Over	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,550	112	42.9%48 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f6…48f3backed Over	48c	4,496$2,158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,337.83	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc96…8a0bbacked Under	51c	4,200$2,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,142	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d04…9435backed Under	51c	4,200$2,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,142	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+3.9wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa817…6313backed Over	49c	4,200$2,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,142	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c41…02e2backed Over	49c	4,200$2,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,142	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf88…7aa4backed Under	51c	3,419$1,744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,743.63	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.9wins	-0.37per pick	49cpaid	-75%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under	50c	3,241$1,605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,605.08	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	51c	3,241$1,645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,595.64	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over	48c	2,713$1,302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,410.76	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	52c	2,637$1,371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,371	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f96…f4f8backed Under	51c	2,451$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over	48c	2,005$962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,042.71	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	48c	1,879$902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$902.39	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	43c	1,854$797 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,056.97	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	50c	1,230$614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$615.35	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	48c	1,150$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$597.72	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over	42c	1,045$437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$607.3	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc54c…4aafbacked Under	52c	1,038$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	54c	1,034$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.16	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under	53c	1,021$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over	44c	999.43$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.68	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	36c	905.76$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$578.7	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Under	71c	852.16$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.74	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe360…421cbacked Under	68c	822.29$558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.89	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	67cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	52c	535.98$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.71	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Under	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over	41c	466.4$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.35	1,113	41.6%463 W · 650 L	-10.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Under	50c	433.72$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.86	315	38.1%120 W · 195 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over	48c	399.94$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.26	503	46.5%234 W · 269 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Under	79c	399.35$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.42	478	56.5%270 W · 208 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	41c	388.77$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.7	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over	49c	318.21$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.56	311	44.4%138 W · 173 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under	73c	309.56$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.17	612	53.1%325 W · 287 L	-20.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	38c	262.4$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.36	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over	47c	256.08$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.56	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Under	52c	231$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.43	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over	52c	220.99$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.07	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over	40c	218.3$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.85	271	44.3%120 W · 151 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Over	51c	200.16$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.16	81	56.8%46 W · 35 L	+9.0wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bd3…c066backed Over	48c	197.92$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.92	94	50%47 W · 47 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	51c	191.26$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.93	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b01…8f47backed Over	22c	176.51$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.48	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under	51c	166$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.66	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Over	51c	137.25$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.25	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Under	53c	126$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.78	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Under	53c	123$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.19	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under	51c	121$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.71	80	50%40 W · 40 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Under	51c	121$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.71	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over	30c	117.91$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.43	637	45.8%292 W · 345 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	34c	109.69$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.92	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Under	53c	101$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.53	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8df…6df7backed Over	44c	100.63$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.8	77	45.5%35 W · 42 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1600…5a08backed Over	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	141	27.7%39 W · 102 L	-16.4wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Under	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	111	58.6%65 W · 46 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	522	42.7%223 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.25	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under	53c	99$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.47	94	46.8%44 W · 50 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Under	50c	95$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	50	58%29 W · 21 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Over	48c	83.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.49	54	50%27 W · 27 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	48c	77.69$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.19	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0854…fb45backed Over	49c	61.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.22	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.15per pick	47cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over	27c	60.29$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.72	306	16.7%51 W · 255 L	-36.5wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	48c	60$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.4	620	47.3%293 W · 327 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Under	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	71	62%44 W · 27 L	+8.4wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+22%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9784…e452backed Over	27c	60$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.6	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Over	47c	52$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.53	210	56.2%118 W · 92 L	+10.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Under	51c	51$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.01	69	52.2%36 W · 33 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9acf…bd74backed Over	47c	51$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.03	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Under	69c	50$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-20.4wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b33…8c31backed Over	22c	49.63$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.46	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Under	51c	48.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.98	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Over	47c	48$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.44	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a5…a875backed Under	68c	45.33$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.83	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd568…655ebacked Over	47c	45$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.85	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.9	353	52.4%185 W · 168 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbba…e95bbacked Over	47c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.2	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Over	47c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.2	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92bf…0297backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00f6…c5d2backed Over	49c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Over	47c	40$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.2	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d6…14d9backed Over	50c	39.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.62	139	46.8%65 W · 74 L	+11.6wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Under	51c	38.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	314	30.3%95 W · 219 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce9b…0bc0backed Over	50c	38$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over	49c	37$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.87	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over	47c	36.94$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.58	288	52.8%152 W · 136 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14c2…6070backed Over	47c	36$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.08	37	64.9%24 W · 13 L	+5.1wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	47c	35$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.55	1,151	53.7%618 W · 533 L	-41.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x315a…b24cbacked Over	49c	35$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.85	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddf6…9bd5backed Over	47c	33$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.49	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Over	49c	33$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.83	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed Over	49c	31$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.81	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08a7…e161backed Over	49c	31$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.81	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd2…2b28backed Under	51c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc61d…ca38backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5this page
Julius Randle: Assists Over 4.5Yes won
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Timberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsNuggets won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event