TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x92bf…0297

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
181
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NHL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 59 out of 100; worst UFC at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2450%12 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Fordham Rams (-1.5)backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$15.3
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$14.52
Idaho State Bengals vs. Northern Colorado Bearsbacked Idaho State Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.36
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Ohio Bobcats: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.65
Alabama State Hornets vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsbacked Alabama State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
Spread: Memphis Tigers (-8.5)backed Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.96
Spread: High Point Panthers (-17.5)backed Longwood Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18.9
Spread: Houston Cougars (-8.5)backed Cincinnati Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$6.12
Wofford Terriers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$11.96
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. American Eaglesbacked American Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$9.24
Spread: Tulane Green Wave (-1.5)backed Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+96.1%+$16.66
Louisville Cardinals vs. California Golden Bearsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$8.36
Spread: Toledo Rockets (-9.5)backed Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15.37
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-23.5)backed Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.28
Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.26
Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-2.5)backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15.36
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Akron Zips: O/U 160.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+138.1%+$15.66
Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9.45
Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$11.34
Louisville Cardinals vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15.92
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$24.08
Davidson Wildcats vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$15.6
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.82
1H Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$18.8
Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.3
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+132.6%+$18.81
Spread: Clippers (-10.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$12.19
Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.36
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Cavaliers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 113.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$22.26
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+150%+$16.2
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.3
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+76.4%+$20.79
Spurs vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$22.08
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$17.16
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.63
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+127.3%+$20.72
Spread: Magic (-1.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$25.48
Spurs vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$9.4
1H Spread: Bulls (-1.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+100%+$16.5
Bulls vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 118.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+100%+$38
Celtics vs. Nets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25.97
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+69.5%+$14.35
All 23 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskbacked Sibir Novosibirsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.96
Sharks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.87
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$8.96
DEL: Grizzlys Wolfsburg vs. Loewen Frankfurtbacked Loewen Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13.44
Maple Leafs vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.05
Sabres vs. Blues: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13.76
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. HC Sochibacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+37%+$4.05
SHL: Froelunda HC vs. HV 71backed Froelunda HC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+25%+$7
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. CSKA Moscowbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$15.84
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+156.4%+$25.01
Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+127.3%+$32.48
Flames vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$27.26
Oilers vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+132.6%+$15.39
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+170.3%+$18.9
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$31.2
Bruins vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$16.83
Hurricanes vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+78.6%+$33.44
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$29.2
Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.04
Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.92
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+58.7%+$17.39
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15.39
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13.44
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.83
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Millwall FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.12
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Derby County FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+127.3%+$16.8
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+257.1%+$47.52
Will Bristol City FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20.16
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$36.18
Watford FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$35.2
All 16 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa vs. Vanderbilt: 1H Moneylinebacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15.75
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: 1H Moneylinebacked Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+37%+$8.1
Spread: Houston (-3.5)backed Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.53
Spread: BYU (-5.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.32
Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-5.5)backed UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+69.5%+$9.84
Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-6.5)backed UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 60.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Alabama vs. Oklahoma: O/U 39.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+78.6%+$17.6
Old Dominion vs. South Florida: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$18.77
Troy vs. Jacksonville State: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20.35
O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
Spread: Washington (-8.5)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$12.42
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$4.4
Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.84
PSV vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.47
Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$7.7
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18.9
Will PSV win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$14.26
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Falkirk FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.42
Will Kayserispor win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$9.12
Will Konyaspor vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$21.08
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20.46
Will FC København vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.32
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.88
Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$12.48
Will Real Zaragoza vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.57
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+177.8%+$17.92
Valencia CF vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Albacete Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20.25
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Will CD Castellón win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.92
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20.82
Will Girona win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+37%+$3.78
AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$10.56
SS Lazio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12
AS Roma vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$26.91
AS Roma vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+96.1%+$15.19
AS Roma vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$31.92
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$17.67
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50.92
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-67.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Valenciabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24.96
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. BC Dubaibacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7.44
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Virtus Bolognabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+37%+$8.1
Real Madrid vs. Paris Basketballbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+25%+$5
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$23.62
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+170.3%+$37.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Mamdani not shake hands on November 21 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.