Premier League · resolved market
Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aad7ef6370fda11772be123a1bba4869901d064b50ddd1a0aa3b82aa1e83e27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 2,788$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.34 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Under | 49c | 886.96$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.61 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 24c | 456.05$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.12 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 47c | 444$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.68 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 406.24$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.65 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 53c | 260.38$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.38 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 78c | 224.86$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 73c | 174.63$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Under | 48c | 141.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 51c | 129$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 47c | 111$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 49c | 84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Under | 42c | 81.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Over | 53c | 34.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 51c | 30.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Over | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Over | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Over | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Over | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Birmingham City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.