Premier League · resolved market
Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a1ce24e0e5cf97930dd2613122486e226520b0f82d7c68152770d2a02f4b494
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 78c | 6,900$5,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.99 | 48 | 81.3%39 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 4,906$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.97 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 77c | 2,535$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.85 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 78c | 1,278$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.1 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Under | 22c | 527.54$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.06 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 22c | 469.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.62 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 22c | 205$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 22c | 168.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 23c | 147$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 23c | 123$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 22c | 122$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 23c | 79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 23c | 71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 22c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…357dbacked Over | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Over | 77c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Over | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Over | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Over | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Over | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 76c | 18.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Over | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Over | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Over | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Over | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Over | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Birmingham City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.