Premier League · resolved market
Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1228bdcb3ca49caa2c3982def395eb423d67dd3e7b622785ec4f6598c023287
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 3c | 1,900$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 275.04$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.62 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 227$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.21 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 207.37$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.81 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 47c | 154.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Over | 30c | 110$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Under | 71c | 104$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 74c | 89.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 31c | 74.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked Under | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 54c | 65.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 69c | 64.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 30c | 56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 30c | 56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Under | 62c | 55.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 51.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Under | 70c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Under | 70c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Under | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Under | 70c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Under | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Under | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Birmingham City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.