TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a4e…e3a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
227
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST3857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pacers (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.44
Zion Williamson: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.95
Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.18
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.11
Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$19.27
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.22
76ers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 120.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$15.36
Hawks vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+138.1%+$25.52
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$19.42
Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$24.64
Spread: Bulls (-1.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+122.2%+$20.35
Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$12
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15.81
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$12.96
Raptors vs. Heat: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.12
Magic vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.27
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+78.6%+$9.68
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20.75
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+81.8%+$8.55
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+85.2%+$15.64
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$19.98
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+85.2%+$11.04
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+72.4%+$11.76
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST3568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: East Tennessee State Buccaneers (-10.5)backed Chattanooga Mocs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.26
North Florida Ospreys vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eagles: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+85.2%+$8.74
Austin Peay Governors vs. Queens (NC) Royals: O/U 161.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.73
Charlotte 49ers vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.24
Richmond Spiders vs. Rhode Island Rams: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$16.72
Houston Christian Huskies vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+25%+$2.8
South Florida Bulls vs. Temple Owlsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Idaho Vandals vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacksbacked Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.04
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. UCF Knightsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+31.6%+$5.52
Ohio Bobcats vs. Ball State Cardinalsbacked Ball State Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+212.5%+$29.24
Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-4.5)backed Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+117.4%+$13.5
Spread: UT Martin Skyhawks (-2.5)backed UT Martin Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+100%+$16
Spread: Hofstra Pride (-1.5)backed Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+138.1%+$20.3
Hofstra Pride vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 132.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Belmont Bruins vs. Northern Iowa Panthersbacked Belmont Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$12.88
Clemson Tigers vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.92
Wofford Terriers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+92.3%+$12.48
Spread: Rhode Island Rams (-11.5)backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+71.3%+$29.55
Mercer Bears vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$23
Spread: Furman Paladins (-3.5)backed Mercer Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.6
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+127.3%+$18.48
Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25.65
Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-7.5)backed Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16.19
Denver Pioneers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 166.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+112.8%+$11.66
Spread: Syracuse Orange (-14.5)backed Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14.28
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST2240.9%9 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-31.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.7
Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)backed Sheffield United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.44
Wrexham AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.88
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$7.56
Birmingham City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.92
Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20.16
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.18
Millwall FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$31.86
Coventry City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+31.6%+$11.04
Will Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$28.8
Will Preston North End FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22.63
Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+26.6%+$8.4
Swansea City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$7.25
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+138.2%+$24.95
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13.14
Will Oxford United FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.96
Ipswich Town FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.28
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$28.09
Preston North End FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$44.28
Will Burton Albion FC win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will Brighton vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.92
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+58.7%+$5.92
Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.2
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$8.25
KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Dinamo Minskbacked HC Dynamo Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Traktorbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+100%+$13
AHL: Springfield Thunderbirds vs. Providence Bruinsbacked Providence Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
DEL: EHC Red Bull Muenchen vs. Adler Mannheimbacked EHC Red Bull Muenchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Severstal Cherepovetsbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$19.38
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.91
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+117.4%+$24.3
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+69.5%+$36.08
Flames vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+63.9%+$14.04
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+196.1%+$29.8
Hurricanes vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+132.6%+$17.1
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Flames vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$27.36
Utah vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$23.94
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.47
Avalanche vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+122.2%+$23.1
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Tondela vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7.13
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$21.28
Will Dundee FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.41
Will Hibernian FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.38
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+81.8%+$10.8
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$19.38
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.41
Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.95
Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+28.2%+$6.38
Will Rangers FC vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+33.3%+$7.25
Will SC Braga vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+26.6%+$2.73
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.84
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+58.7%+$18.87
Will Vitória SC win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+49.3%+$5.61
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.06
Granada CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$15.04
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.01
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+37%+$5.13
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.6
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Betis Balompié · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.7
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.82
Will CD Leganés vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.27
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+53.2%+$12.15
Will Ourense CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$21.06
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+44.9%+$11.47
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$32.34
Elche CF vs. Girona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$4.42
All 13 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+32%+$12.12
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+96.1%+$13.23
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.16
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.76
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-12-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$10.64
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will NEOM SC win on 2025-12-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+42.9%+$7.2
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.46
Will Daegu FC win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$8.64
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+72.4%+$17.64
Will Jeju SK FC vs. Daegu FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.68
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Dimitrov (-1.5) vs Michelsen (+1.5)backed Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+37%+$8.1
Royer vs. O'Connell: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.03
Medvedev vs. Humbert: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Zheng vs. Kenin: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.15
Siniakova vs. Tauson: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.02
Ostrava Open: Caty McNally vs Tamara Korpatschbacked McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24.75
Samsonova vs. Baptiste: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.14
Open Sud de France: Moise Kouame vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$8.91
Set 1 Winner: Sonmez vs Putintsevabacked Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15.98
Australian Open Women's: Eva Vedder vs Lucrezia Stefaninibacked Vedder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.96
Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Mmoh (+1.5)backed Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+129.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$45.9
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$18.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Valenciabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.88
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ILT20: Abu Dhabi Knight Riders vs Desert Vipers (Game 1)backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$18.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a handshake between Trump and Mamdani only be photographed on November 21 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.