South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2025-11-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec71f4b1d2aff606c3c5ebb7fef43e95320493acf1187c8b593a35d1ffc07864
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 4,093$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.3 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 74c | 2,042$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 1,647$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.67 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 24c | 1,115$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.21 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 917.69$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.95 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Yes | 22c | 427.27$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked No | 75c | 328$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed No | 75c | 317$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 251.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 75c | 162$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 24c | 149.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked No | 74c | 126$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8279…7edcbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab52…6c65backed No | 76c | 115.79$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed No | 75c | 108$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Yes | 25c | 87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Yes | 25c | 79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 47cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Yes | 25c | 78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Yes | 25c | 73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Yes | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Yes | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Yes | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Yes | 25c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Yes | 25c | 61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Yes | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Yes | 25c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed No | 75c | 45.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Yes | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 76c | 13.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2025-11-16?this page
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. Racing Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Racing Club win on 2025-11-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.