South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club win on 2025-11-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fcfd2ef90f60882a4393e2485104ce1dedf25dcd12931ec462468264bf41416
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,400 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,400 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 2,233$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…d055backed Yes | 44c | 1,901$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7f…472ebacked No | 56c | 1,899$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Yes | 46c | 1,874$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 1,665$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.2 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 44c | 1,200$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.99 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 57c | 1,150$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.9 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 59c | 929.99$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 43c | 642.06$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.98 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 57c | 592.09$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.46 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 27c | 493.26$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.08 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 28c | 327.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.07 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed No | 54c | 207$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 195$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed No | 56c | 157$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 63c | 116$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked No | 56c | 96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed No | 56c | 91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 31c | 90$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…e1babacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Yes | 44c | 84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8279…7edcbacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Yes | 44c | 83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Yes | 46c | 81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 69.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Yes | 44c | 64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked No | 55c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…e401backed No | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked No | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…cf40backed Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed No | 55c | 59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Yes | 46c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…bd6dbacked Yes | 44c | 54.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Yes | 45c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Yes | 46c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…4cf4backed Yes | 44c | 36.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…c1ddbacked Yes | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…66a8backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed No | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Yes | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Yes | 44c | 25.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…c34bbacked Yes | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Yes | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club win on 2025-11-16?this page
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. Racing Club end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2025-11-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.