TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x07a4…be3a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
199
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST3161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Heat (-10.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$7.79
Zion Williamson: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+78.6%+$12.32
Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 21.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.37
Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.88
Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$12.5
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22.54
Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.62
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+132.6%+$23.37
Hawks vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.06
Kings vs. Clippers: 1H Moneylinebacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.41
1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.05
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17.49
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11.25
Celtics vs. Pacers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14.88
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15.4
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13.72
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Nets vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 114.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+100%+$16.5
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+127.3%+$17.36
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$9.2
Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 116.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+112.8%+$15.37
Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+65.6%+$11.88
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST3148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: North Alabama Lions (-1.5)backed West Georgia Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$13.44
UCF Knights vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$8.93
USC Upstate Spartans vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogsbacked UNC Asheville Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.84
Spread: Quinnipiac Bobcats (-2.5)backed Fairfield Stags · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.34
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Central Arkansas Bearsbacked Central Arkansas Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.25
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Stonehill Skyhawksbacked Central Connecticut State Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$23.41
Stanford Cardinal vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+212.5%+$26.52
Wofford Terriers vs. Western Carolina Catamountsbacked Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$20.7
Buffalo Bulls vs. Northern Illinois Huskiesbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.8%+$9.57
Mercer Bears vs. Furman Paladins: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+98%+$48.5
Washington State Cougars vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked Washington State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Toledo Rockets: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+127.3%+$28
Spread: Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens (-1.5)backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$26.52
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+25%+$2.6
Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-18.5)backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.11
Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Spread: Clemson Tigers (-5.5)backed Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12.32
Spread: Arizona State Sun Devils (-12.5)backed Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.71
Mercer Bears vs. Washington State Cougars: O/U 153.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+117.4%+$13.5
Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Northern Illinois Huskies: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-4.5)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14.88
Spread: Providence Friars (-2.5)backed Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11.25
Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. UIC Flames: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$19.24
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-3.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$52.92
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.79
Spread: Predators (-1.5)backed Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.93
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$15.58
Sharks vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$24.91
AHL: Chicago Wolves vs. Milwaukee Admiralsbacked Chicago Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$25
SHL: Leksands IF vs. Brynaesbacked Leksands IF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Capitals vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.96
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.61
Avalanche vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+127.3%+$12.88
Ducks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$19.74
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Rangers vs. Utah: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.61
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+170.3%+$30.24
Islanders vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.83
Utah vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$42.84
Oilers vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$8.64
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$8.25
Bristol City FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Coventry City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.95
Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.11
Portsmouth FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+49.3%+$12.87
Oxford United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+75.4%+$10.75
Oxford United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$18.2
Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+100%+$11.5
Will Hull City AFC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
Derby County FC vs. Portsmouth FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$5.04
Swansea City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+117.4%+$13.5
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$7.25
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.48
Will Hibernian FC vs. Dundee United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Hibernian FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$8.16
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Falkirk FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+138.1%+$15.66
Spread: Go Ahead Eagles (-1.5)backed Go Ahead Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.35
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18.48
Will FC Alverca win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$10.92
Will FC Arouca vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.65
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Will Gaziantep FK vs. Göztepe SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+40.8%+$12.47
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Carabelli vs. Comesana: Match O/U 23.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Kjaer vs. Munar: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Humbert (+1.5)backed Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.36
Set 1 Winner: Wang vs Arangobacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Royer vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.76
Rybakina vs. Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.9
Gauff vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.74
Set Handicap: Hijikata (-1.5) vs Schoolkate (+1.5)backed Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+170.3%+$22.68
Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Tjen (+1.5)backed Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.91
Jovic vs. Tjen: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Marcinko vs. Eala: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.54
Brisbane International: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jessica Pegulabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.62
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21.12
Grêmio FBPA vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will CA Banfield vs. AA Estudiantes end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.72
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.53
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.7
CF Monterrey vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+334.8%+$35.42
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$14.84
Will FC Juárez win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$17.28
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+37%+$5.13
EC Juventude vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+138.1%+$46.98
Will Racing Club win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$30.78
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15.86
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-48.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Racing Club vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.06
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.92
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
Will Real Zaragoza vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5.28
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.76
Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$4.8
Will CA Osasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.72
Will Burgos CF win on 2025-12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.24
Will Málaga CF win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.12
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+26.6%+$11.76
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+61%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-49.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Basquet Club Andorra vs. Gran Canariabacked Basquet Club Andorra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$8.93
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Valenciabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+117.4%+$22.68
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.