Premier League · resolved market
Oxford United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97190add549a366f34ea9b66bf6b0704527c9aaf42e141c5e219764c11bb47c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 936$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.96 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 37c | 690$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.96 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 30c | 197$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 30c | 110$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 30c | 66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 30c | 62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Under | 29c | 60.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 30c | 58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 30c | 56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 29c | 54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 30c | 51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Over | 70c | 48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Over | 70c | 46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Over | 70c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Over | 70c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Over | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Over | 70c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed Over | 70c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 19.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Over | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Over | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Over | 70c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Over | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oxford United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Oxford United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Oxford United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Oxford United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Oxford United FC (-1.5)Swansea City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.