Premier League · resolved market
Oxford United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2af45ba09906a1c70db02a063537867fd4847fe6c2950792da6f8b1c5cb8a3cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 120.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 26c | 114.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 38c | 114.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 108$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Over | 22c | 103$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 77c | 97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 77c | 91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Over | 22c | 89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Under | 77c | 87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Over | 22c | 86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Over | 22c | 74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 78c | 56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 78c | 56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 77c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Under | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Under | 78c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Over | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Over | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Under | 78c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Under | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Under | 78c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Under | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 76c | 27.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Under | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Under | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Under | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Under | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Under | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Under | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oxford United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5this page
- Oxford United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Oxford United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Oxford United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Oxford United FC (-1.5)Swansea City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.