Premier League · resolved market
Oxford United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea961178611ed301e8c490d40f71b318abeee49ff5d787a73df71f6e690fea21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Over | 43c | 188$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 56c | 152$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 56c | 143$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Under | 56c | 122$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 104.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Over | 43c | 94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Over | 43c | 85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Under | 56c | 59.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Over | 44c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Over | 44c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Under | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Over | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Over | 44c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Under | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Over | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Over | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Under | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Under | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Over | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Under | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Over | 43c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Under | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Under | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Under | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Under | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oxford United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Oxford United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Oxford United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Oxford United FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Oxford United FC (-1.5)Swansea City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.