Australian A League · resolved market
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0886a2acc593ed434d506aaddfa4e27b3557b93d254fdbc2297e402328d51698
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 62c | 1,005$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.3 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 38c | 970$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.73 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 21c | 135$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 21c | 134$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 21c | 128$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Under | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 22c | 88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +79%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 21c | 81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +59%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Over | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Over | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3add…e482backed Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Over | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Over | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Over | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Over | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Over | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Over | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Over | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Over | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Over | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Over | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Over | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Over | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Over | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Over | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Over | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cccebacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7773…f936backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…012fbacked Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Over | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…bd5cbacked Over | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Over | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Over | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Over | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Over | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Over | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Over | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Auckland FC won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.