TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d10…e17c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
170
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST2839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked Lafayette Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.52
Siena Saints vs. Saint Peter's Peacocksbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Spread: Presbyterian Blue Hose (-16.5)backed Presbyterian Blue Hose · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.85
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-2.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$15.96
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-11.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.78
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsbacked Le Moyne Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+88.7%+$12.69
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13.44
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-11.5)backed Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+122.2%+$14.85
Furman Paladins vs. Chattanooga Mocs: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UCLA Bruins vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.53
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Harvard Crimsonbacked Dartmouth Big Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+244.8%+$35.5
Memphis Tigers vs. Rice Owls: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.42
Spread: Arkansas State Red Wolves (-8.5)backed Arkansas State Red Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.24
Wofford Terriers vs. Western Carolina Catamountsbacked Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$10.8
Lamar Cardinals vs. East Texas A&M Lionsbacked Lamar Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+47.1%+$14.4
Washington State Cougars vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6
Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+108.3%+$19.76
Idaho Vandals vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17.66
Seattle Redhawks vs. UTSA Roadrunners: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$26.88
Spread: Seattle Redhawks (-8.5)backed Seattle Redhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12.75
Spread: Arizona State Sun Devils (-12.5)backed Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18.72
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Ole Miss Rebelsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$4.68
Spread: California-San Diego Tritons (-14.5)backed California-San Diego Tritons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14.85
Spread: LSU Tigers (-22.5)backed LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16.96
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jock Landale: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.44
Spread: Clippers (-10.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.92
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.66
Lakers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.25
Raptors vs. Lakers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.04
1H Spread: Lakers (-0.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$16
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$13.75
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$18.86
Kings vs. Clippers: 1H Moneylinebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$14.16
Pistons vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$11.5
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$18.62
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+92.3%+$12
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+58.7%+$6.29
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+81.8%+$15.75
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11
Grizzlies vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$22.36
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Grizzlies vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$16.1
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$12.48
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+78.6%+$17.16
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+127.3%+$12.88
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$17.1
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12.76
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kjaer vs. Munar: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Set 1 Winner: Kalinskaya vs Maneirobacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.08
Set Handicap: Alexandrova (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)backed Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12
Royer vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.94
Musetti vs. Machac: Match O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$13.77
Tien vs. Borges: Match O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15.68
Shnaider vs. Fernandez: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Tseng vs. Landaluce: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Set Handicap: Tabilo (-1.5) vs Carabelli (+1.5)backed Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$11.22
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Majchrzak (+1.5)backed Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+163.2%+$17.98
Brisbane International: Leylah Fernandez vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+156.4%+$21.35
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Martin Landaluce vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.55
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.56
Stars vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$11.27
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.42
Senators vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+117.4%+$11.88
AHL: Bridgeport Islanders vs. Lehigh Valley Phantomsbacked Bridgeport Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+138.1%+$14.5
Kraken vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.92
Spread: Canucks (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15.19
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.43
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. HC Sochibacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+37%+$4.59
Sabres vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.96
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. Ak Bars Kazanbacked SKA St. Petersburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+100%+$14.5
Canucks vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.44
All 12 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$7.92
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.28
Will Al Okhdood SC vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$22.01
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.98
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.28
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+122.2%+$19.25
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+63.9%+$8.97
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.35
Will Jeju SK FC vs. Daegu FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.36
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Vikings (-6.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.1
Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$22.14
Spread: Giants (-3.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.25
Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14.4
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
49ers vs. Colts: 1H Moneylinebacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+58.7%+$6.66
Bengals vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+104.1%+$17.34
Jets vs. Saints: 1H O/U 20.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$13.63
Spread: Texans (-7.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12.47
Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.07
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Motherwell FC vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+72.4%+$7.56
Rangers FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.2%+$2.86
FC Porto vs. Gil Vicente FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10.4
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+177.8%+$18.56
Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.71
FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.25
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sheffield United FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.72
Middlesbrough FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25.08
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.59
Will Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$23.8
Millwall FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Will Watford FC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+38.9%+$8.4
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.2
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+100%+$24.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EC Vitória vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.72
Will CA Barracas Central vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$9.18
Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.75
Will CS 2 de Mayo win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.96
CA Unión vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8.8
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Independiente: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.22
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16.96
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.25
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+78.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+143.9%+$23.6
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$15.75
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+37%+$5.94
All 3 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.64
Paris Basketball vs. Monacobacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15.84
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Virtus Bolognabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+37%+$6.21
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ZennIT vs The Bandits (BO1)backed The Bandits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+134.2%+$16.62
LoL: DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
Will NK Celje win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$19.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+37%+$9.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael Fiziev win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$4.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)backed AS Monaco FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.