Asian League · resolved market
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe07e780d87f77d690e3024a88392ce48c804eeaa9cc588dd6b298e1c2ba96f1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 1,682$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.51 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 12c | 681.67$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.07 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 29c | 595.83$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.1 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 572.75$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.52 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 67c | 526.67$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.67 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Over | 42c | 515.97$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +96%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 469.97$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.37 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 70c | 333.33$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.33 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 72c | 273.47$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.46 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 29c | 122$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 9c | 111.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.87 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Over | 29c | 104$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 27c | 92.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…82fdbacked Under | 72c | 90.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 23c | 69.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 63c | 53.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 47c | 43.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 72c | 41.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Under | 71c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Under | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…c7aebacked Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Under | 71c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Under | 71c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 72c | 14.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.