Asian League · resolved market
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x377c6212b087f18c8dd18ddd53469057b9788b67297ba7934a6e17fcff8223d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 3,101$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.47 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 852$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.2 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 749.5$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.5 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 39c | 742.82$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.33 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 69c | 724.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.36 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 25c | 443.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 436.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.12 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 74c | 433.78$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Over | 43c | 346.32$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.30per pick | 39cpaid | +96%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 51c | 320.03$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.57 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Over | 75c | 320$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 301.86$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 61c | 222.38$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.65 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 25c | 209.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e46…ae6dbacked Over | 65c | 196.45$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 50c | 168.06$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.45 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 77c | 165.74$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over | 70c | 139.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 22c | 119$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Under | 38c | 94.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 71c | 76.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 50c | 73.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 70c | 68.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Over | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 24c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 59c | 49.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 67c | 40.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Over | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b94…82ccbacked Over | 72c | 35.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 40c | 25.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Over | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Over | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Over | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 54c | 21.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d68abacked Over | 63c | 20.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd746…4266backed Over | 71c | 17.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Over | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.